Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.357567 0.413680 0.472697 0.539119 0.611517 0.687772 0.773895
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.270858 0.346343 0.430775 0.531108 0.645993 0.772405 0.920980
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.221401 0.310744 0.416381 0.547883 0.704641 0.883130 1.099320
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.172877 0.267856 0.386756 0.541655 0.733408 0.958616 1.238708
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.148184 0.250507 0.385009 0.566866 0.798779 1.077681 1.431459
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.120200 0.223805 0.367332 0.568963 0.833821 1.159752 1.581012
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.098013 0.201320 0.352027 0.571522 0.867752 1.239834 1.728691
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.083217 0.187323 0.346459 0.585615 0.915834 1.337689 1.899378
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.072157 0.177279 0.345090 0.604458 0.969797 1.443343 2.081005
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062677 0.168131 0.343741 0.622446 1.022308 1.547475 2.261837
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050797 0.152082 0.329603 0.620188 1.045926 1.613405 2.394022
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.042827 0.141903 0.323655 0.629176 1.084752 1.699468 2.552844
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033417 0.126598 0.307733 0.622279 1.101287 1.756974 2.676973
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024181 0.108649 0.284777 0.602344 1.097534 1.786215 2.763798
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020020 0.102028 0.281664 0.613863 1.139992 1.879256 2.936473
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014614 0.089706 0.265946 0.603167 1.148299 1.924535 3.045277
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012870 0.087972 0.271066 0.627803 1.210667 2.046338 3.258785
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009804 0.080271 0.262814 0.628585 1.235978 2.115842 3.401731
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007398 0.073512 0.255579 0.630443 1.262595 2.187223 3.547714
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006017 0.070185 0.255506 0.644956 1.309230 2.287747 3.734638
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005062 0.068249 0.258348 0.664724 1.364410 2.401075 3.940097
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.004213 0.066259 0.260784 0.683689 1.418526 2.513384 4.145077
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002900 0.060098 0.252148 0.681165 1.437515 2.574387 4.278932